Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Wagner Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c170a817a433c3295690ddb0342713bc259e2d13484648fc529a81bcebef953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof New Haven Chargers, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 13,168$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,012.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Haven Chargers | 61c | 6,746$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 2,278$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 2,190$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.22 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 57c | 1,636$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 1,555$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.65 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Haven Chargers | 60c | 1,163$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Haven Chargers | 59c | 833.84$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.63 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Haven Chargers | 32c | 814.69$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Haven Chargers | 61c | 615.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.77 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked New Haven Chargers | 60c | 494.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New Haven Chargers | 52c | 391.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New Haven Chargers | 55c | 355.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Haven Chargers | 44c | 298.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 247$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Haven Chargers | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked New Haven Chargers | 63c | 158.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed New Haven Chargers | 36c | 132.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Wagner Seahawks | 36c | 125.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Haven Chargers | 35c | 116.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 102.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Wagner Seahawks | 41c | 92.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New Haven Chargers | 60c | 89.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…7ed5backed New Haven Chargers | 45c | 88.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wagner Seahawks | 44c | 87.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…b2cebacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 69.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wagner Seahawks | 62c | 68.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 62.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wagner Seahawks | 58c | 52.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Haven Chargers | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed New Haven Chargers | 54c | 46.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…58e9backed Wagner Seahawks | 46c | 42.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Haven Chargers | 63c | 35.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed New Haven Chargers | 57c | 33.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New Haven Chargers | 62c | 28.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…7483backed New Haven Chargers | 70c | 20.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Haven Chargers vs. Wagner Seahawksthis page
- New Haven Chargers vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 130.5Under won
- New Haven Chargers vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 131.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.