Tennis · resolved market
Iasi: Ilia Simakin vs Lautaro Midon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3034528641cc4d0ea7f5deb9a354ef907d86c3a6f0f011daa85e5b40f4e5a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Midonof Ilia Simakin, Lautaro Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Ilia Simakin | 30c | 1,334$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lautaro Midon | 73c | 1,212$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.19 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lautaro Midon | 62c | 1,148$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilia Simakin | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lautaro Midon | 67c | 311.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Ilia Simakin | 22c | 290.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Ilia Simakin | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Lautaro Midon | 73c | 245.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Ilia Simakin | 9c | 196.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Ilia Simakin | 33c | 192.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ilia Simakin | 16c | 171.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ilia Simakin | 14c | 167.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Ilia Simakin | 20c | 163.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lautaro Midon | 77c | 148.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ilia Simakin | 32c | 121.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ilia Simakin | 38c | 115.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Ilia Simakin | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Lautaro Midon | 61c | 80.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Ilia Simakin | 33c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Lautaro Midon | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lautaro Midon | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Ilia Simakin | 22c | 57.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lautaro Midon | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Ilia Simakin | 21c | 53.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lautaro Midon | 65c | 47.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Ilia Simakin | 33c | 42.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lautaro Midon | 75c | 41.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Ilia Simakin | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ilia Simakin | 31c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lautaro Midon | 64c | 35.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lautaro Midon | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lautaro Midon | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lautaro Midon | 69c | 26.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lautaro Midon | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lautaro Midon | 68c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Lautaro Midon | 62c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Lautaro Midon | 77c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Lautaro Midon | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lautaro Midon | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Lautaro Midon | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iasi: Ilia Simakin vs Lautaro Midonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Simakin vs MidonMidon won
- Simakin vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.