Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c64b48a4bf005de586edfa320ca2d82e2ab72951b42a7556b6838584bc6984d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 24c | 1,700$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.07 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 60c | 1,211$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.22 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 46c | 900.7$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.4 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GamerLegion | 71c | 827.55$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 51c | 739.02$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.23 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 724.77$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.32 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed GamerLegion | 65c | 517.84$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 1win | 4c | 511.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 36c | 509.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 56c | 495.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 478.81$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 1win | 37c | 437.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 55c | 437.15$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.81 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed GamerLegion | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked 1win | 66c | 369.09$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 60c | 343.47$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 3c | 339.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed GamerLegion | 64c | 318.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 46c | 311.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 30c | 302.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 292.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed 1win | 51c | 284.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 56c | 247.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed 1win | 63c | 214.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win | 28c | 204.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 51c | 194.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 53c | 176.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed 1win | 44c | 165.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 28c | 151.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed GamerLegion | 48c | 141.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 32c | 124.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1win | 24c | 123.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 20c | 122.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked GamerLegion | 68c | 122.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked GamerLegion | 65c | 113.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed GamerLegion | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 48c | 100.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed 1win | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed 1win | 15c | 95.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed GamerLegion | 55c | 89.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 1win | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked 1win | 49c | 75.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 70.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed 1win | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed GamerLegion | 46c | 69.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 46c | 63.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 46c | 57.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed 1win | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 1win | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked 1win | 32c | 49.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 37c | 40.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 1win | 47c | 38.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed 1win | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed GamerLegion | 46c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed 1win | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 1win | 42c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked GamerLegion | 74c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.