Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10a02ce516ae57c0c3109c30c61f7f45df30c3306161b9d37f00442c5dd4860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof GamerLegion, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed GamerLegion | 1c | 4,094$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 59c | 2,329$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.23 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 44c | 2,273$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed GamerLegion | 44c | 1,810$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.93 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 1,772$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.29 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 60c | 1,116$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.27 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed 1win | 72c | 963.31$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 51c | 910.74$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.05 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 46c | 860.85$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.19 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 49c | 837.85$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.68 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 46c | 798.36$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 797.3$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.51 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed 1win | 57c | 585.47$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 37c | 577.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion | 8c | 550$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed GamerLegion | 35c | 549.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 46c | 542.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.72 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 76c | 520.89$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed 1win | 47c | 409.06$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 407.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed GamerLegion | 20c | 392.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed GamerLegion | 24c | 391.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 63c | 364.2$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed GamerLegion | 21c | 356.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 55c | 354.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 1win | 39c | 325.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 55c | 294.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 43c | 262.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked GamerLegion | 21c | 253.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 57c | 241.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 241.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GamerLegion | 52c | 214.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 207.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed 1win | 48c | 203.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 47c | 185.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed GamerLegion | 53c | 183.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked 1win | 50c | 181.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 17c | 167.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 167.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 53c | 148.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 67c | 143.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 142.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed GamerLegion | 25c | 138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed 1win | 73c | 137.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed 1win | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1win | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed GamerLegion | 50c | 96.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed GamerLegion | 53c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 1win | 59c | 88.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 71c | 81.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win | 48c | 77.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked 1win | 68c | 71.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GamerLegion | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…561fbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 64.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed 1win | 68c | 63.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 1win | 37c | 59.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 58.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed GamerLegion | 45c | 55.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked 1win | 59c | 55.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 42c | 53.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed 1win | 42c | 52.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 49c | 48.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…da25backed 1win | 37c | 48.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed GamerLegion | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 1win | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 57c | 47.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed GamerLegion | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked GamerLegion | 47c | 45.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 1win | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 63c | 40.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 38.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed 1win | 64c | 37.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed GamerLegion | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed 1win | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 33.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked 1win | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked 1win | 64c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 1win | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 1win | 78c | 31.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed 1win | 75c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked 1win | 58c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 1win | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed 1win | 58c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed 1win | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.