CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6814ecbf4183a88ac92e0d5b1891774d7d663f985db04b32859eaea7db1259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MASONIC | 34c | 4,247$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 39c | 3,522$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.93 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MASONIC | 64c | 1,259$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.99 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 57c | 936.87$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed MASONIC | 61c | 810.19$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…1ebbbacked MASONIC | 7c | 575.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 505.87$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MASONIC | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MASONIC | 21c | 394.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed MASONIC | 61c | 303.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 61c | 253.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed MASONIC | 61c | 240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MASONIC | 68c | 227.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 17c | 164.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked MASONIC | 74c | 135.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 105.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MASONIC | 74c | 94.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MASONIC | 44c | 90.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 18c | 82.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MASONIC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked MASONIC | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASONIC | 61c | 75.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MASONIC | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed MASONIC | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked MASONIC | 64c | 26.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked MASONIC | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.