TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MASONICof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, MASONIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MASONIC63c2,776$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.881,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c2,008$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.062,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x824f…69bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC43c574.84$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.617,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed MASONIC35c565.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9438835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked MASONIC46c542.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.619935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects55c531.48$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29255843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MASONIC45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects51c499.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9924942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c440$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14843237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects63c421.06$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.672,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MASONIC50c409.12$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0852951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MASONIC59c362.01$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.712,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MASONIC63c326.5$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.54,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects65c309.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects47c300$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MASONIC56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed MASONIC34c229.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4141847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MASONIC43c153.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.241,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed MASONIC66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MASONIC39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked MASONIC57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.355435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked MASONIC38c138.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5718549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked MASONIC77c126$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.985451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9926245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects69c98.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6917759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASONIC61c97.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects45c88.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.294,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MASONIC64c84.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects58c81.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4735148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects40c81.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked MASONIC47c79.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.799732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked MASONIC24c70.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4311740.2%47 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed MASONIC31c66.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2244748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b84…e88cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…a2dfbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects67c52.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356050%30 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked MASONIC75c51.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7837441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects47c45.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2816347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513753.3%73 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c55…03d7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c32.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0170042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…b594backed MASONIC39c32.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.