MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6cd1d25e7ac91a205a150bdebab7523b8757e0191a72af54a944bb07f7abce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Rockies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 72c | 1,222$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 28c | 1,176$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 76c | 896.77$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockies | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockies | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 72c | 498.57$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Rockies | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 28c | 324.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 74c | 270.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Giants | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Rockies | 17c | 185.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Giants | 71c | 161.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 72c | 138.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Giants | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Giants | 71c | 103.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…cefbbacked Rockies | 29c | 103.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants | 72c | 100.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Rockies | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 72c | 60.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Giants | 73c | 59.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockies | 27c | 59.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 73c | 47.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Giants | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 73c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…c390backed Giants | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.