Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9687b609cec98f417650eff59f1cdfac740e1bc6f02fc106e38e94c6b11b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Dimitrov | 44c | 24,907$10,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,904.59 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Borges | 58c | 22,996$13,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Dimitrov | 8c | 2,399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Borges | 64c | 1,555$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.52 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Borges | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Borges | 61c | 1,285$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.63 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Borges | 65c | 1,271$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dimitrov | 36c | 938.02$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dimitrov | 39c | 906.4$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Dimitrov | 37c | 860.52$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.43 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Borges | 60c | 745.89$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dimitrov | 39c | 599.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Borges | 61c | 396.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Dimitrov | 39c | 251.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Borges | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Borges | 64c | 105.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Borges | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Dimitrov | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Dimitrov | 38c | 43.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Borges | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Borges | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dimitrov | 40c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Borges | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Dimitrovthis page
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)Borges won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Borges won
- Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor DimitrovNuno Borges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.