Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cfa57c5e3ac3af75a853f1010854eb53e812fcdbaa9ec7d92b07bd646923894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof UT Arlington Mavericks, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 35c | 1,250$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 18c | 1,243$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 40c | 999.64$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.71 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 67c | 886.89$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 701.92$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 332.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 306$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 61c | 211$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 65c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 59c | 109.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 41c | 102.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…db87backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 40c | 97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 51.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.