TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open: Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aleksandar Kovacevicof Felix Balshaw, Aleksandar Kovacevic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd27c…c081backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98015565.2%101 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Felix Balshaw31c5,578$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.7711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Felix Balshaw22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00071329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Felix Balshaw33c4,418$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.962,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.392655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Felix Balshaw39c2,349$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.2632737.3%122 W · 205 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic68c2,063$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.2212268.9%84 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic75c2,001$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1293168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Felix Balshaw20c1,740$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.021,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic65c1,726$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.033,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aleksandar Kovacevic78c1,709$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.218,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic67c1,494$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8612851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Felix Balshaw19c1,209$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.718,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Felix Balshaw33c1,018$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.033135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic67c1,017$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.533565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+647.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Felix Balshaw20c938$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.157522.1%127 W · 448 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca3…8b60backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c878.33$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Aleksandar Kovacevic78c805$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17734145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Aleksandar Kovacevic69c605.08$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.362,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Felix Balshaw33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Felix Balshaw34c521.11$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.183,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic67c508.38$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.773762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Felix Balshaw35c427.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7244042.3%186 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Felix Balshaw35c305.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0458757.8%339 W · 248 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Felix Balshaw34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Felix Balshaw34c298.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.491,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Felix Balshaw34c284$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2430335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Felix Balshaw21c270$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Felix Balshaw20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029348.5%142 W · 151 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c234.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8995455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Felix Balshaw8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,01353.8%545 W · 468 L+35.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Felix Balshaw18c175.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.964,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Felix Balshaw22c174.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.621216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.544359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c144.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1284468.5%578 W · 266 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c134.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5920552.7%108 W · 97 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Felix Balshaw12c130.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.614,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Felix Balshaw34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…bf08backed Felix Balshaw23c97.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Felix Balshaw16c96.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0418939.2%74 W · 115 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Felix Balshaw25c87.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.851,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Felix Balshaw33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48439.3%33 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Felix Balshaw34c70.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.959421.3%20 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Felix Balshaw34c67.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.842,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Felix Balshaw21c61.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Felix Balshaw34c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Felix Balshaw34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c42.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0331749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…5bedbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Felix Balshaw34c33.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.333059.1%195 W · 135 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Aleksandar Kovacevic67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.856963.8%44 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Felix Balshaw36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Aleksandar Kovacevic75c27.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8550341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f6…fdd6backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Aleksandar Kovacevic80c26.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c19.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7950948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.