TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,746 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c1,363$61 inLost-$60.692,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over13c331.21$43 inLost-$4340448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over11c294.59$33 inLost-$33.249926.3%26 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over9c290.89$25 inLost-$24.761,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…472abacked Under50c193.08$97 inWon+$96.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…86f5backed Under50c192.54$96 inWon+$96.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…bdbdbacked Under50c191.75$96 inWon+$95.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a4a…36b7backed Under50c191.67$96 inWon+$95.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…6e75backed Under50c191.44$96 inWon+$95.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa95…0817backed Under50c191.29$96 inWon+$95.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…ac3cbacked Under50c190.69$95 inWon+$95.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa206…536bbacked Under50c190.22$95 inWon+$95.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d62…6c73backed Under50c190.09$95 inWon+$95.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd70…b4b4backed Under50c189.71$95 inWon+$94.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed Under50c189.4$95 inWon+$94.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…b8debacked Under50c189.34$95 inWon+$94.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef5…e610backed Under50c188.31$94 inWon+$94.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa210…4b7cbacked Under50c188.22$94 inWon+$94.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…c208backed Under50c188.13$94 inWon+$94.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c3…4666backed Under50c187.57$94 inWon+$93.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e9…6c71backed Under50c187.57$94 inWon+$93.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x731d…a066backed Under50c187.52$94 inWon+$93.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a35…f88bbacked Over16c187.48$30 inLost-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x060b…23d7backed Under50c187.44$94 inWon+$93.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d3…0be7backed Under50c187.28$94 inWon+$93.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187f…e03bbacked Under50c187.12$94 inWon+$93.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…ee29backed Under50c187.08$94 inWon+$93.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…6c21backed Under50c186.87$93 inWon+$93.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d26…0759backed Under50c186.82$93 inWon+$93.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…d7aebacked Under50c186.49$93 inWon+$93.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8280…2b64backed Under50c186.45$93 inWon+$93.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf10…231fbacked Under50c186.18$93 inWon+$93.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…f349backed Under50c185.78$93 inWon+$92.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13a…b333backed Under50c185.75$93 inWon+$92.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…bcb4backed Under50c185.51$93 inWon+$92.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa863…b1b7backed Under50c185.45$93 inWon+$92.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…e082backed Under50c184.98$92 inWon+$92.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4281…be3bbacked Under50c184.91$92 inWon+$92.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0b…72e4backed Under50c184.88$92 inWon+$92.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d65…687abacked Under50c184.49$92 inWon+$92.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb7…8ae0backed Under50c184.18$92 inWon+$92.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…6a28backed Under50c184$92 inWon+$921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb169…391dbacked Under50c183.96$92 inWon+$91.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d3…ef59backed Under50c183.84$92 inWon+$91.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2175…e56bbacked Under50c183.4$92 inWon+$91.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…41c0backed Under50c183.26$92 inWon+$91.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564e…ceb4backed Under50c182.81$91 inWon+$91.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5812…90a9backed Under50c182.62$91 inWon+$91.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1d…b797backed Under50c182.51$91 inWon+$91.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…95f9backed Under50c182.08$91 inWon+$91.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…5b8fbacked Under50c182.06$91 inWon+$91.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x668f…5303backed Under50c181.97$91 inWon+$90.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6c…f4d7backed Under50c181.97$91 inWon+$90.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over11c181.8$20 inLost-$2034560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f76…373ebacked Under50c181.63$91 inWon+$90.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…2562backed Under50c181.25$91 inWon+$90.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b9…b250backed Under50c181.24$91 inWon+$90.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad0…7ab7backed Under50c181$91 inWon+$90.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c3b…7e72backed Under50c180.88$90 inWon+$90.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8823…4eeabacked Under50c180.48$90 inWon+$90.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x804b…1d41backed Under50c180$90 inWon+$902100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c1…bfc4backed Under50c179.95$90 inWon+$89.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…7796backed Under50c178.96$89 inWon+$89.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c3…0093backed Under50c178.89$89 inWon+$89.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4c…ca47backed Under50c177.93$89 inWon+$88.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20d…2f01backed Under50c175.76$88 inWon+$87.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over11c145.44$16 inLost-$1637562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over11c142.76$16 inLost-$15.739561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Over15c73.19$11 inLost-$10.984025%10 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.