Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x889977289aca7f07680a946485b89d80d532b6e49834ce5f4cc327e41af8604d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,488$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.08 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,881$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fffdbacked Over | 49c | 1,522$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,404$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 53c | 902.87$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 779.79$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 74c | 707.64$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 559.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 17c | 499.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 388.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 346.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 67c | 269.55$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 204.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…e341backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 177.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 172.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 165.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Over | 49c | 157.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 136.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 118.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 55c | 99.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 86.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 81.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 50c | 64.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Over | 38c | 58.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 53c | 57.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 80c | 57.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…e149backed Under | 69c | 36.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 61c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 52c | 30.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…14fdbacked Under | 48c | 30.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 66c | 26.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 40c | 26.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…a660backed Over | 56c | 26.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 25.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 46c | 25.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 53c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 69c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…e544backed Over | 56c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.