Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9fff9fd8a62bf68ff78beebaea04f6777e0125acbab0bcc0798997955e34ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Dayton Flyers, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 63c | 2,206$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 1,892$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.81 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 1,089$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.56 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 43c | 771$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.59 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Dayton Flyers | 4c | 564.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 550.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.16 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 37c | 508.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 28c | 267.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 45c | 215.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Dayton Flyers | 22c | 195.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 68c | 170.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 38c | 131.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 69c | 112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 101.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Dayton Flyers | 77c | 98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Dayton Flyers | 44c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dayton Flyers | 31c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Dayton Flyers | 70c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dayton Flyers | 70c | 19.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksthis page
- Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.