Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db9e0476dde949d289760011a1f0773120fcc7d883fcbaa0af864359e5d55e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x840d…3708backed Over | 1c | 32,877$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 2,652$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 9c | 1,458$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 72c | 654.76$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 11c | 342.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 69c | 286.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Over | 31c | 193.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 162.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 143.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 14c | 95.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 16c | 94.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 29c | 88.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 80.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 407 | 42%171 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 16c | 79.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…8bf9backed Under | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.