La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd6bf181d9dd08d71e76e00f6559c55df864883443906b11d38d89a52e1db16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 2,642$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.86 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 860.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 789.21$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 16c | 580.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 520.32$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 21c | 327.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 8c | 324.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…d26dbacked Yes | 5c | 321.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 296.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 186.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 8c | 183.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 143.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 135.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed No | 76c | 131.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 125.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9361backed Yes | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 52.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 42.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 27c | 36.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.