La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69108d933daae6300b2b072a6938445631478012b3fbb836db77fc2b7b740931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,149 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,838$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,627$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 908.4$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.23 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 36c | 678.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.45 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 650.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 277.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 243.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 216.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 129.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 66.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 56.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 41c | 55.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 48.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…2a36backed Yes | 34c | 45.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 41c | 40.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 34.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 28.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Yes | 63c | 21.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…d26dbacked Yes | 73c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.