Mls · resolved market
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de770c87702cdc8296471decb03144118b5104a5733c7bc31ac4b18a5e111d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbus Crewof Nashville SC, Columbus Crew
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Columbus Crew | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nashville SC | 42c | 1,172$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nashville SC | 42c | 824.47$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nashville SC | 38c | 411.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nashville SC | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nashville SC | 41c | 211.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Nashville SC | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Columbus Crew | 68c | 188.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Columbus Crew | 67c | 166.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Nashville SC | 32c | 163.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Nashville SC | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Columbus Crew | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nashville SC | 32c | 85.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Nashville SC | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Nashville SC | 30c | 36.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Columbus Crew | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nashville SC | 44c | 24.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Columbus Crew | 68c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Columbus Crew | 70c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Columbus Crew | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)this page
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Columbus Crew O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.