Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeda51f398ac59f2307ca54df5935660f1f53dbb353f27583ae802621991475d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 3,808$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 3,113$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.65 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 2,366$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.21 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 2,030$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.26 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 1,276$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 1,098$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.26 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 636.94$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.48 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 603.25$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 53c | 371.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 331.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 282.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 225$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 38c | 200.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 149.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 32c | 138$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 32c | 126.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 43c | 121.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 107.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 101.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 33c | 83.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 54c | 71.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 71.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 65c | 69.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 62.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 34c | 53.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 56c | 49.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 32c | 39.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91b…eb19backed Over | 52c | 33.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…2f74backed Under | 70c | 26.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 53c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Under | 80c | 16.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Columbus Crew O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.