Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2deb806b36f4f0d35cc89fa6cc900c0d9aed8fbd36ea4b4018ca40e71a0e6490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colossal Gamingof Colossal Gaming, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aeterna Esports | 11c | 883.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b3babacked Colossal Gaming | 80c | 383.62$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Aeterna Esports | 20c | 383.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Aeterna Esports | 21c | 365.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Aeterna Esports | 19c | 358.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aeterna Esports | 28c | 338.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Aeterna Esports | 8c | 292.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Aeterna Esports | 14c | 285.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Colossal Gaming | 71c | 266.79$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Aeterna Esports | 20c | 233.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aeterna Esports | 12c | 231.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aeterna Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aeterna Esports | 14c | 96.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aeterna Esports | 29c | 90.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…6034backed Aeterna Esports | 16c | 85.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aeterna Esports | 22c | 73.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Aeterna Esports | 26c | 55.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Colossal Gaming | 78c | 40.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Colossal Gaming | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Colossal Gaming | 74c | 35.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Colossal Gaming | 78c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Colossal Gaming | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.