Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ded06eaca413809e8d1db999a2102b6e1aabb0f80b9fa1142dc03e86a74cefc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 2,972$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 2,941$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.61 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 190.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 107.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Xavier Musketeers | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 98.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 20c | 73.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 44c | 69.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…6cd6backed Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Creighton Bluejays | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.