Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dee8a4e43665b0459a1de595aa24a6b9dd27ef20a81863b3b459431d2629bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,513$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 75c | 2,659$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.83 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,033$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 862.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 778.32$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 44c | 707$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.92 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 612.29$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.48 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 378.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 52c | 374.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 301.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 35c | 288$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 287.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 246.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 38c | 159.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 141.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 53c | 133.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 89.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…b320backed Over | 44c | 63.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 33c | 57.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5446backed Under | 53c | 54.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 44c | 45.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 52c | 35.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 56c | 32.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 27.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Preußen Münster won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.