Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd318f2b7d779d7988262ae9904fbbef6132618eb3c90e3da453ba7e5637f924e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,219$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 20c | 2,180$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.89 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,545$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 1,502$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.32 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 1,095$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.01 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,046$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.04 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 13c | 888$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 408.49$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…a007backed Under | 51c | 328$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 51c | 247.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…ade9backed Over | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 26c | 156$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…b92dbacked Over | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 74c | 42.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565e…dc83backed Over | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…4e93backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…9615backed Under | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Preußen Münster won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.