Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfe22638af53107c848762e3ec3ea4e89b40d8fa044a530046b72953350d059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 2,856$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 1c | 1,086$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 914$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 746.19$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Over | 27c | 650$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 7c | 504$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 316.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 299.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 33c | 299.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 18c | 216.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 15c | 136.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 14c | 128.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 15c | 100.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Over | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 49c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 71c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5this page
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bangladesh (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Bangladesh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.