Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704adf603a5d88591eee6a6de96c1a7dc5cc718c654d0a7e8ca9c59c254633f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 68c | 3,064$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.47 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 2c | 2,828$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 2,824$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.69 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Over | 36c | 2,075$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.44 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,397$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 39c | 1,361$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.97 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 36c | 1,012$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.09 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 958.73$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 65c | 738.26$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 634.71$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 47c | 524.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 36c | 513.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 412.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 65c | 374.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 361.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 64c | 357.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 68c | 296$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 36c | 275.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 224.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 61c | 166.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 59c | 159.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 159.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 33c | 157$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 63c | 154.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…18c6backed Under | 65c | 153.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 75c | 131.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 122.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Under | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 96.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 65c | 73.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 58c | 67.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 62.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 67c | 53.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 42c | 47.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 23c | 45.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Under | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 62c | 44.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 37c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 64c | 40.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 38.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 37.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 63c | 36.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 48c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 60c | 17.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 66c | 16.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5this page
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bangladesh (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Bangladesh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.