TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

CSUN Matadors vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CSUN Matadorsof CSUN Matadors, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed CSUN Matadors65c3,428$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.811662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed CSUN Matadors39c3,172$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.882,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens35c2,751$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.791,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens61c524.28$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked CSUN Matadors40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18029444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors47c154$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.272,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c108.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.222,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens58c97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.011,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c95.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens35c83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.051,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed CSUN Matadors61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens61c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644841.7%20 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors48c40.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.025,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked CSUN Matadors44c34.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens61c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.812,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.