Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Lourdes Ayala vs Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7165b17d1e3f965eeb72c81681517f57e8e9d6503b8e474131c1862a3684b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Konishi Camargo Silvaof Lourdes Ayala, Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 65c | 1,119$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 57c | 712.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lourdes Ayala | 43c | 690.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lourdes Ayala | 37c | 650$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lourdes Ayala | 36c | 513.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 70c | 296.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 57c | 288.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Lourdes Ayala | 43c | 251.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lourdes Ayala | 44c | 235.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 53c | 109.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 64c | 95.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lourdes Ayala | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Lourdes Ayala | 45c | 65.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lourdes Ayala | 45c | 44.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Lourdes Ayala | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Lourdes Ayala | 43c | 31.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Lourdes Ayala | 43c | 29.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | 55c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.