CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e98d4dc54838a2abbac56a5f0b8c86429756c766fc3525185dfe37e3c5fb161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof HEROIC Academy, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe807…307cbacked ASTRAL | 74c | 1,980$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 1,440$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.51 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HEROIC Academy | 25c | 1,303$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked HEROIC Academy | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed HEROIC Academy | 18c | 812.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ASTRAL | 73c | 800$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HEROIC Academy | 19c | 677.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HEROIC Academy | 28c | 537$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed ASTRAL | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed ASTRAL | 76c | 361.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 319.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed ASTRAL | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ASTRAL | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ASTRAL | 73c | 200.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ASTRAL | 75c | 199.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 191.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 190.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked HEROIC Academy | 31c | 168.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed HEROIC Academy | 23c | 144.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed HEROIC Academy | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HEROIC Academy | 19c | 125.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HEROIC Academy | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…7adfbacked HEROIC Academy | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HEROIC Academy | 23c | 97.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked ASTRAL | 75c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed ASTRAL | 77c | 67.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ASTRAL | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed HEROIC Academy | 22c | 65.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed HEROIC Academy | 23c | 65.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ASTRAL | 71c | 54.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HEROIC Academy | 24c | 51.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HEROIC Academy | 22c | 46.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…c5afbacked HEROIC Academy | 46c | 43.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed HEROIC Academy | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 69c | 38.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed ASTRAL | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed ASTRAL | 76c | 34.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ASTRAL | 43c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed ASTRAL | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ASTRAL | 70c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.