Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Robin Montgomery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea67da0b87a20c363d890525ae87903bfc986761322b4003e758cdf21c1c10d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Rieraof Julia Riera, Robin Montgomery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Julia Riera | 49c | 718.64$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.81 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Robin Montgomery | 59c | 686.33$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robin Montgomery | 22c | 583.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Robin Montgomery | 52c | 557.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Robin Montgomery | 54c | 403.86$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Robin Montgomery | 74c | 378.38$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Robin Montgomery | 64c | 328.81$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Julia Riera | 53c | 320.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Montgomery | 59c | 315.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…ca2cbacked Robin Montgomery | 47c | 267.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Julia Riera | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Julia Riera | 56c | 216$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Julia Riera | 55c | 180.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Robin Montgomery | 43c | 169.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Julia Riera | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Julia Riera | 25c | 148.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Julia Riera | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Robin Montgomery | 59c | 128.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Robin Montgomery | 45c | 112.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Julia Riera | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…af18backed Julia Riera | 31c | 97.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julia Riera | 38c | 94.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Robin Montgomery | 65c | 74.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Robin Montgomery | 26c | 57.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Robin Montgomery | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Julia Riera | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Robin Montgomery | 51c | 45.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Robin Montgomery | 53c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Robin Montgomery | 57c | 37.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Julia Riera | 53c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Robin Montgomery | 41c | 32.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Julia Riera | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Robin Montgomery | 65c | 21.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Robin Montgomery | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.