Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Carboni vs Federico Iannaccone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebf98d84540f5c327cb8c1b8bf02eb08faad223e91aab748abf317e4c4a567d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Iannacconeof Lorenzo Carboni, Federico Iannaccone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 0c | 4,025$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 3c | 3,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lorenzo Carboni | 14c | 1,755$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federico Iannaccone | 77c | 1,472$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lorenzo Carboni | 23c | 1,292$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 1,249$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.27 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Federico Iannaccone | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.19 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lorenzo Carboni | 9c | 952.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 884.86$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.52 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Iannaccone | 61c | 596.07$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 581.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Federico Iannaccone | 46c | 409.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Lorenzo Carboni | 20c | 362.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Federico Iannaccone | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 256$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 232.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Lorenzo Carboni | 57c | 213.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Carboni | 46c | 207.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Federico Iannaccone | 79c | 183.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Lorenzo Carboni | 57c | 176.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 172.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 170.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Federico Iannaccone | 42c | 156.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Federico Iannaccone | 75c | 114.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 102.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Lorenzo Carboni | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 93.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 76.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Lorenzo Carboni | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Federico Iannaccone | 54c | 67.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Carboni | 47c | 66.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Federico Iannaccone | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Federico Iannaccone | 63c | 57.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lorenzo Carboni | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Lorenzo Carboni | 31c | 49.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Federico Iannaccone | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Federico Iannaccone | 75c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Iannaccone | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 56c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Federico Iannaccone | 49c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 30.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 27.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Federico Iannaccone | 41c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Federico Iannaccone | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Lorenzo Carboni | 54c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.