CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f4eb98cbf647010482a929af1b8330ffc12269917bba65f54c12982b7c42e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof AM Gaming, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed AM Gaming | 48c | 3,631$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.43 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 3,484$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.44 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 1,655$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 881.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.87 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked AM Gaming | 51c | 799.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed AM Gaming | 54c | 564.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked AM Gaming | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed AM Gaming | 54c | 255.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed AM Gaming | 49c | 234.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 230.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked AM Gaming | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 127.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 100.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming | 22c | 97.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 97.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 92.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed AM Gaming | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked AM Gaming | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 60.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked AM Gaming | 43c | 57.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 30.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed AM Gaming | 47c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 29.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 28.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7e23backed AM Gaming | 69c | 17.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.