CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2d91f3439ebbfb21ac22fe7252e5805c5b95f9185f035461e95bbb6d2c88c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof AM Gaming, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 9,241$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968.04 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed AM Gaming | 52c | 3,642$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.91 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed AM Gaming | 57c | 2,999$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.06 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 2,643$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.98 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 2,462$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed AM Gaming | 57c | 1,697$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 1,035$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 629.3$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 516.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed AM Gaming | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed AM Gaming | 55c | 334.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed AM Gaming | 61c | 320$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked AM Gaming | 23c | 299.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked AM Gaming | 28c | 286$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 259.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 229.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…8caabacked AM Gaming | 57c | 227.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed AM Gaming | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 209.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 197.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 188.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 41c | 179.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed AM Gaming | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed AM Gaming | 55c | 158.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…20e8backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 148.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 66c | 141.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed AM Gaming | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 126.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed AM Gaming | 56c | 122.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked AM Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked AM Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 33c | 98.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 93.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…4492backed AM Gaming | 52c | 87.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 73.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 73.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 68.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 38c | 60.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 57.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked AM Gaming | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed AM Gaming | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed AM Gaming | 22c | 45.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed AM Gaming | 46c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed AM Gaming | 56c | 44.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked AM Gaming | 56c | 39.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 38.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed AM Gaming | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…83debacked MOUZ NXT | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked AM Gaming | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…2e44backed AM Gaming | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…1235backed AM Gaming | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.