CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fac9b7d18a922642cba0b089e6e052258ecde3d1fd2d5a121e7eac02cc81794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Esport BERG, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Esport BERG | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed HAVU | 46c | 653.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HAVU | 70c | 461.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esport BERG | 32c | 436.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Esport BERG | 47c | 432.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.56 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed HAVU | 33c | 311.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 44c | 310.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Esport BERG | 40c | 224$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HAVU | 51c | 219.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Esport BERG | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked HAVU | 65c | 150.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Esport BERG | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Esport BERG | 36c | 140.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Esport BERG | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Esport BERG | 15c | 133.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Esport BERG | 37c | 102.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Esport BERG | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Esport BERG | 57c | 97.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Esport BERG | 39c | 96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed HAVU | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HAVU | 62c | 87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Esport BERG | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Esport BERG | 40c | 73.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked HAVU | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HAVU | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Esport BERG | 41c | 61.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HAVU | 64c | 54.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Esport BERG | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HAVU | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Esport BERG | 30c | 44.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HAVU | 63c | 43.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HAVU | 38c | 43.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HAVU | 64c | 40.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Esport BERG | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Esport BERG | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed HAVU | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Esport BERG | 39c | 28.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 48c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked HAVU | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed HAVU | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group BHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.