TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,761 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under17c2,201$366 inLost-$365.642,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under12c1,510$174 inLost-$173.881,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over80c625$500 inWon+$1253063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over80c625$500 inWon+$1254158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under19c321.36$61 inLost-$61.4884342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over80c187$150 inWon+$37.43767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over80c149.28$119 inWon+$29.867100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under8c142$11 inLost-$10.842133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Over80c124.13$99 inWon+$24.831346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under19c92.5$18 inLost-$17.5872342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over80c89$71 inWon+$17.810456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Over80c30$24 inWon+$6955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over80c22$18 inWon+$4.429350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over80c22$18 inWon+$4.428247.9%135 W · 147 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over80c13$10 inWon+$2.62931%9 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.