Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38174da5fb2e61fb6cf486726c42e83f8a59fad2b2f34c878ef2a7365c130382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 39c | 5,947$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.59 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 2,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.41 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 46c | 1,424$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 80c | 1,190$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 47c | 780.21$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 715.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 692.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 633.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 509.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 49c | 497.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +11.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 53c | 483.66$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 32c | 450.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 372.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 70c | 307.92$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…d2cbbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 55c | 254.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 230.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 228.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 49c | 198.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 80c | 196.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 189.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 79c | 156.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 51c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 119.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 34c | 117.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 55c | 111.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 46c | 108.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 54c | 102.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 21c | 96.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 63c | 94.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.37per pick | 40cpaid | +960.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 80c | 87.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Under | 54c | 81.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 58c | 71.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 21c | 71.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Under | 28c | 60.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 69c | 56.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…7413backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 30c | 43.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed Over | 30c | 38.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 59c | 37.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 41c | 32.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 76c | 28.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 50c | 28.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 52c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9e82backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Under | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.