Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967443ef32d7e62b0aac8e51991d059498d8152ac044a27ba1878b09d055f7e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 67c | 50,145$33,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,547.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 29,058$9,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,589.19 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 5,717$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.63 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 3,899$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.54 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 3,464$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.22 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 1,873$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.35 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 12c | 1,610$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 1,359$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 13c | 1,162$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 1,077$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.75 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 35c | 941.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Over | 33c | 937.25$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 12c | 807.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 692$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 65c | 599.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 33c | 468.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 77c | 440.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 437.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 317.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 66c | 301.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 80c | 170.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 115.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 34c | 98.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 66c | 91.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 67c | 88.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 33c | 78.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 33c | 68.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 35c | 55.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Over | 33c | 46.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 33c | 43.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 65c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…99abbacked Over | 33c | 35.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.