CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2feeaf98bfaa08db5dd91125d76ca9c6634a95af85762828c43b6f5af49de537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof UNiTY esports, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 72c | 2,825$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.63 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Alliance | 38c | 1,500$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNiTY esports | 34c | 1,404$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 1,049$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.57 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…85f6backed UNiTY esports | 68c | 691.62$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0e07backed UNiTY esports | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 472.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Alliance | 43c | 463.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed UNiTY esports | 66c | 451.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UNiTY esports | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…d74fbacked UNiTY esports | 36c | 351.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Alliance | 60c | 331.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 296$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports | 47c | 213.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed UNiTY esports | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed UNiTY esports | 66c | 188.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Alliance | 56c | 177.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Alliance | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 34c | 164.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed UNiTY esports | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8da1backed UNiTY esports | 10c | 153.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Alliance | 70c | 150.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Alliance | 38c | 136.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 66c | 115.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…c92fbacked UNiTY esports | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UNiTY esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Alliance | 66c | 95.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Alliance | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Alliance | 68c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked UNiTY esports | 79c | 80.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Alliance | 42c | 74.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed UNiTY esports | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 65c | 64.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Alliance | 80c | 62.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked UNiTY esports | 64c | 61.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…a946backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 59.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed UNiTY esports | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Alliance | 31c | 43.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed UNiTY esports | 70c | 42.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…4c47backed UNiTY esports | 64c | 39.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed UNiTY esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked UNiTY esports | 66c | 31.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Alliance | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed UNiTY esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…3c62backed Alliance | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Alliance | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.