CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff382961d329e3b9b2df9961b25e7505a26e8848a6d08c2c16f607aac18660f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 12c | 758.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 13c | 721.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 639.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 64c | 454.86$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked BIG | 70c | 337$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 184.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 172.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 107.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 100.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 79.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 62.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed BIG | 67c | 60.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked BIG | 62c | 56.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BIG | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 67c | 49.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked BIG | 59c | 48.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 47.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…612dbacked BIG | 67c | 41.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked BIG | 74c | 35.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked BIG | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed BIG | 70c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…cb89backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed BIG | 49c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked BIG | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BIG | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.