CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3024f9cc3af6793b006c8027cbc6099c658bfb1715c45c80afc56eba6622f854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 42c | 2,147$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 59c | 906.3$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked KOLESIE | 60c | 519.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE | 62c | 478.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked KOLESIE | 41c | 370.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed KOLESIE | 61c | 324.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Bebop | 43c | 275.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE | 41c | 253.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed KOLESIE | 60c | 249.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 45c | 225.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed KOLESIE | 47c | 210.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 62c | 188.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 185.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 183.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 183.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Bebop | 48c | 182.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed KOLESIE | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…a213backed KOLESIE | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Bebop | 39c | 156.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 51c | 128.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed KOLESIE | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed KOLESIE | 55c | 114.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KOLESIE | 61c | 97.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 36c | 92.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 38c | 91.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 75c | 86.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked KOLESIE | 63c | 70.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 69.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bebop | 40c | 66.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bebop | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bebop | 46c | 55.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed KOLESIE | 48c | 51.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 48.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 47.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bebop | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed KOLESIE | 45c | 35.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 34c | 30.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 57c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.