South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30906127f9e97bbef2d9a2d4bd19c47b31244189328f6b1bfc34809998cc6b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,715$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 2,065$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 46c | 1,243$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 3c | 1,017$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.29 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 555.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 68c | 447.36$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 11c | 375$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 283.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4561…b0b0backed Under | 9c | 212.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 68c | 197.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 163.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 155.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 95.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 53c | 90.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…5d3bbacked Under | 26c | 55.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 52c | 52.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 57c | 43.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 47c | 36.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…95c2backed Over | 44c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 47c | 22.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…df3abacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.