Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Camilla Zanolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b3547fcb05dbc21d174d1b8d33f0bda00b98f6acb73cffecfda57182b5e91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camilla Zanoliniof Rose Marie Nijkamp, Camilla Zanolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Camilla Zanolini | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Rose Marie Nijkamp | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.82 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Camilla Zanolini | 71c | 558.15$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Rose Marie Nijkamp | 24c | 351.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Rose Marie Nijkamp | 31c | 90.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rose Marie Nijkamp | 42c | 73.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Camilla Zanolini | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Camilla Zanolini | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Rose Marie Nijkamp | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Camilla Zanolini | 75c | 27.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Rose Marie Nijkamp | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Ourense: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Camilla Zanolinithis page
- ITF Women Ourense: Completed Match: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Camilla ZanoliniYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.