CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e62bf5b4075adfb9405cf59bc6ae34f383dc628c9e96964b2834bc0bcc88e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof NEW VISION, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leo Team | 77c | 801.94$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked NEW VISION | 4c | 705.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked NEW VISION | 4c | 291$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 11c | 272.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 63c | 254.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed NEW VISION | 26c | 225.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 39c | 193.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NEW VISION | 24c | 173.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 35c | 152$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed NEW VISION | 46c | 109.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 61c | 89.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NEW VISION | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Leo Team | 63c | 87.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION | 33c | 61.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 74c | 56.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NEW VISION | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked NEW VISION | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Leo Team | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Leo Team | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Leo Team | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Leo Team | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group CLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.