TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Northern Colorado Bears

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, Northern Colorado Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,236 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks12c4,793$575 inLost-$575.1889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks10c4,679$449 inLost-$449.0649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks10c1,029$102 inLost-$101.97227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks10c786.69$77 inLost-$77.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks10c600$60 inLost-$601,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks14c500$70 inLost-$7010622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks13c455.45$58 inLost-$58.3617627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks12c408.74$51 inLost-$50.9655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks16c300$48 inLost-$47.952,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks11c293$32 inLost-$32.232,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks9c291.71$26 inLost-$26.121,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks15c221.35$32 inLost-$32.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks13c200$26 inLost-$261,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks15c146.94$22 inLost-$22.0492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks15c105$16 inLost-$15.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks12c100.71$12 inLost-$12.0999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks12c100$12 inLost-$1293941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks16c87.11$14 inLost-$13.761,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks13c84$11 inLost-$10.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.