College Football · resolved market
Wyoming vs. Colorado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312b9c5c1e712fb150a557fbad12fbb69e84f5e036572aff3bdfbc2be245d98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coloradoof Wyoming, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Wyoming | 16c | 28,708$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.35 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wyoming | 23c | 28,652$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.82 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado | 78c | 21,798$17,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.53 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Colorado | 80c | 17,633$14,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.11 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Wyoming | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wyoming | 19c | 7,927$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.71 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wyoming | 21c | 6,791$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.95 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Wyoming | 20c | 4,095$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wyoming | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wyoming | 2c | 2,121$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado | 53c | 1,331$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wyoming | 1c | 1,104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wyoming | 15c | 920.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wyoming | 20c | 870.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado | 80c | 800.07$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Colorado | 80c | 727$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming | 18c | 644.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Wyoming | 21c | 596$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Wyoming | 15c | 556.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Wyoming | 5c | 506.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…c162backed Wyoming | 20c | 506.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Colorado | 79c | 384$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colorado | 79c | 376.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Colorado | 80c | 349.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Wyoming | 24c | 296$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wyoming | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…74ccbacked Wyoming | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Wyoming | 23c | 129.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wyoming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colorado | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Wyoming | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Wyoming | 18c | 74.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Wyoming | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Colorado | 76c | 64.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Colorado | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…8cc4backed Wyoming | 26c | 45.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Colorado | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado | 79c | 24.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Colorado | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming vs. Coloradothis page
- Spread: Colorado (-12.5)Colorado won
- Wyoming vs. Colorado: O/U 45.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.