Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open: Lulu Sun vs Caroline Dolehide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3135af5bf7f878312b8e89e103bc0ba2d23b0196b50eeb756520e63920c96ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolehideof Sun, Dolehide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sun | 4c | 45,331$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sun | 2c | 17,136$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sun | 50c | 4,400$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.69 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Dolehide | 50c | 3,916$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.19 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sun | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sun | 24c | 2,942$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…8bbebacked Dolehide | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d5…f45ebacked Sun | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sun | 28c | 1,068$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Dolehide | 48c | 830$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.89 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Sun | 52c | 765.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Dolehide | 49c | 594.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.14 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Dolehide | 49c | 483.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dolehide | 49c | 459.85$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Sun | 43c | 410$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Sun | 38c | 338$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sun | 36c | 332.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sun | 30c | 277.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sun | 50c | 263.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sun | 51c | 239.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Sun | 52c | 233$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Sun | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Sun | 17c | 194.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sun | 46c | 193.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Sun | 65c | 154.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Dolehide | 48c | 135.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dolehide | 65c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dolehide | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sun | 24c | 120.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dolehide | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sun | 52c | 113.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Sun | 53c | 109.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sun | 44c | 105.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Dolehide | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dolehide | 48c | 103.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…6122backed Sun | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Dolehide | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Dolehide | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Sun | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sun | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sun | 44c | 78.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Dolehide | 48c | 77.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sun | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Dolehide | 49c | 65.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sun | 49c | 64.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…247dbacked Dolehide | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolehide | 58c | 61.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…d236backed Dolehide | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sun | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…ef02backed Sun | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Sun | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dolehide | 46c | 39.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Sun | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…37f6backed Dolehide | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Dolehide | 57c | 22.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…d5afbacked Dolehide | 65c | 21.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…732abacked Dolehide | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.