TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hamarkamerateneof Hamarkameratene, Vålerenga Fotball
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Vålerenga Fotball63c1,828$1,147 inLost-$1,146.537,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Hamarkameratene39c1,141$449 inWon+$691.5711237.5%42 W · 70 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Hamarkameratene38c1,116$422 inWon+$694.732,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hamarkameratene7c387$27 inWon+$359.912,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Hamarkameratene38c126.5$48 inWon+$78.5314137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Vålerenga Fotball63c83.87$53 inLost-$52.5524851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Vålerenga Fotball65c79.15$51 inLost-$51.0727554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Vålerenga Fotball64c69.44$44 inLost-$44.2533959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Vålerenga Fotball63c60.91$38 inLost-$38.2132257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Vålerenga Fotball63c60.91$38 inLost-$38.2155954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Vålerenga Fotball63c33.14$21 inLost-$20.887763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Vålerenga Fotball62c17.86$11 inLost-$11.144967.3%33 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Vålerenga Fotball80c12.52$10 inLost-$10.024789.4%42 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick80cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.