Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993cbe065793028a7510feb5ea9f81e74f482560ccdee8375f109866d014d1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 45c | 16,557$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.56 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 12,500$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.57 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 7,853$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 55c | 7,683$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.39 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 7,683$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.72 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 7,596$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.12 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 57c | 4,386$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.62 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 3,884$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.27 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,611$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 45c | 3,058$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.1 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,647$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 58c | 2,504$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.35 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 2,276$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 41c | 1,830$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 74c | 1,111$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 924.96$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.41 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 64c | 838.33$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 528.07$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 513.72$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 424.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 13c | 386$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 373.53$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 56c | 342.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 70c | 305.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 71c | 206.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 203.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 183.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 55c | 170.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 61c | 160.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 55c | 153$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 140.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 56c | 123.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 121.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 46c | 104.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 55c | 88.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 46c | 75.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Over | 46c | 72.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ca8fbacked Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 72c | 66.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 60.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 70c | 58.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 71c | 56.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 54.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 77c | 52.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Over | 46c | 48.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 45.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 44c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 56c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Over | 45c | 25.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 79c | 19.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.