Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a090c53d4646c7bd0590d379009b4d56c9e7b2bdf0c7b849ef1ebd9f7be9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamarkamerateneof Vålerenga Fotball, Hamarkameratene
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Hamarkameratene | 62c | 16,043$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,043.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Vålerenga Fotball | 27c | 7,062$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.01 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Vålerenga Fotball | 40c | 4,788$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 3,829$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.75 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Hamarkameratene | 64c | 2,022$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.82 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Vålerenga Fotball | 39c | 1,907$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hamarkameratene | 61c | 620.76$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.09 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Vålerenga Fotball | 36c | 501.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Hamarkameratene | 63c | 315.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…f5b4backed Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 264.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 253.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 249$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 168.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 126.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Hamarkameratene | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Hamarkameratene | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Hamarkameratene | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Hamarkameratene | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hamarkameratene | 61c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Vålerenga Fotball | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Hamarkameratene | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 30.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Hamarkameratene | 64c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.