Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97bc86f6811a52a3b7e28f0a55a7bee801dc9c1ceea614d1317502d56de5acb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 6,725$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 5,859$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.67 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 4,410$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 1,821$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 39c | 258.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 63c | 232.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 197.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 192.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 180.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 34c | 154.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 66c | 144.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 136.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 131.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 102.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 56c | 73.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 64c | 67.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 64c | 47.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 66c | 40.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 66c | 39.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 50c | 38.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 37c | 30.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 59c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.