TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Contrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Alice Rame

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Alice Rame
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alice Rame11c13,779$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.198,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alice Rame14c3,806$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.321,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alice Rame21c2,132$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alice Rame20c1,731$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.855,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Francesca Jones80c1,498$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alice Rame15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.819,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alice Rame18c989.37$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.093,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Alice Rame3c352.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Francesca Jones78c225.85$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4638066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alice Rame14c202.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.646,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Francesca Jones80c198.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Alice Rame20c198.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alice Rame11c108.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.518,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Alice Rame15c97.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Alice Rame26c91.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5710816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Alice Rame15c89.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Alice Rame12c84.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1537255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Alice Rame24c83.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Alice Rame20c62.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Alice Rame20c59.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9313559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alice Rame17c58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alice Rame18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Francesca Jones80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Alice Rame32c31.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1225237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Francesca Jones80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Francesca Jones80c17.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5922366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.