Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31664bdb85ce2f8be9e075c1e4bd5e6fb9fc34a389f97909d65f2ff944e0d8a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked PlayTime | 10c | 2,826$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 2,613$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.52 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 456.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed PlayTime | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PlayTime | 28c | 299.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed PlayTime | 17c | 254.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed PlayTime | 16c | 204.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed PlayTime | 20c | 186.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 178.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked PlayTime | 29c | 153.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PlayTime | 15c | 138.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 106.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked PlayTime | 31c | 92.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 88.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed PlayTime | 34c | 87.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed PlayTime | 30c | 87.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 81.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked PlayTime | 16c | 79.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed PlayTime | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed PlayTime | 16c | 72.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 63.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 59.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked PlayTime | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 59.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked PlayTime | 31c | 58.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 48.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 46.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed PlayTime | 30c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 41.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed PlayTime | 28c | 40.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed PlayTime | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 28.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.